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          您的位置:首頁 > 國際>正文

          國際油價創1個月新高

          時間:2016-02-24 21:43:36    來源:廣州日報    瀏覽次數:    我來說兩句() 字號:TT

            

          預計2月29日內成品油調價窗口仍將處于關閉狀態

            由于新公布數據顯示美國頁巖油產量將減少,國際油價本周一到周二劇烈反彈,美國原油期貨主力合約周二凌晨報收33.62美元/桶,漲幅為5.89%,為1個月最高價;布倫特油價報收35.16美元/桶,漲幅4.58%。

            油價大幅度反彈并沒有改變主流機構對于油價長期低位寬幅振蕩的預期,由于低油價勢必帶來更多的油品消費、環保壓力,國內油品消費稅上調的傳聞也不絕于耳。

            國際油價:

            頁巖油產量或降催漲油價

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            頁巖油產量的多寡問題,是影響國際油價的重要因素;此前一年半時間里,國際油價從100美元以上高位接連暴跌,國際原油輸出國組織——歐佩克始終堅持不減產,正是為了將頁巖油企業擠兌出能源市場。現在頁巖油趨向減產,歐佩克的不減產原則似乎應出現松動。與之相對應,上周五晚間,美國石油服務巨頭貝克休斯公司發布的數據顯示,美國的能源鉆井數量連續第九周環比下降,已跌至2009年12月以來最低水平。而本周一到周二,全球股市漲幅喜人,也給商品市場帶來更多樂觀情緒。

            廣東金礦的油品分析師陳志豪認為:高盛、花旗的觀點依然在看跌油價,歐佩克的減產預期仍沒有落到實處,市場持續上漲動力依然有限,油價傾向于在未來3個月里保持低位振蕩格局,區間落在25~45美元之間。

            國內油價:

            調整擱淺局面難改

            “雖然油價暴漲,但由于原油均價仍遠低于40美元/桶的地板價,預計2月29日發改委調價窗口仍將處于關閉狀態。”成品油分析師劉孟凱告訴記者。油價上調難以實現,消費稅上漲預期不斷升溫,多家機構和專家紛紛做出預測,今年1月底曾傳出消費稅上漲消息并非空穴來風,極有可能在“兩會”后執行,“國內成品油消費稅稅額將進一步提升。”

            “假若短期內國家再度調高成品油消費稅稅率,那么極有可能成品油稅負水平將快速突破50%。”中宇資訊分析師張永浩分析指出,即迎來名副其實的“一升油半升稅”時代。

          責任編輯:張麗平

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